Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 201.109115 233.043268 269.531439 314.550394 368.931404 432.915654 514.509929
2025-09-14 150.842193 188.788486 236.430948 301.485690 389.329253 505.771908 675.132928
2025-09-21 126.971541 167.490822 221.795135 301.509391 418.340321 587.912957 861.609872
2025-09-28 111.518282 153.328965 212.355633 304.261349 448.490960 674.751374 1075.200888
2025-10-05 104.493428 149.223216 215.480409 324.532793 507.305386 816.863697 1418.544862
2025-10-12 97.957621 144.557689 216.544412 341.018001 562.449413 965.107382 1821.054061
2025-10-19 88.928323 134.698357 207.817552 339.415904 585.334509 1060.131632 2150.831201
2025-10-26 83.540451 129.839490 206.317249 349.633207 631.297268 1210.207378 2655.328681
2025-11-02 78.049142 124.083445 202.405917 354.587757 667.711348 1349.689233 3192.186609
2025-11-09 73.452956 119.274602 199.433074 360.636965 707.325250 1506.633283 3845.194259
2025-11-16 68.495663 113.279484 193.539185 359.903379 732.058841 1635.455255 4481.337003
2025-11-23 64.121936 107.866564 188.054837 359.082777 756.329011 1770.054070 5206.760519
2025-11-30 60.096152 103.150826 184.223395 363.169797 798.271722 1979.501919 6376.048791
2025-12-07 54.311264 94.640780 172.136117 347.712834 789.957967 2050.323135 7108.070137
2025-12-14 50.792981 90.062711 167.310395 347.742641 821.562824 2252.990411 8555.835912
2025-12-21 47.966738 86.518287 164.129550 351.010543 862.890779 2504.988773 10484.021541
2025-12-28 47.169001 86.895052 169.203843 375.114050 970.241371 3034.619622 14492.928635
2026-01-04 45.998070 86.372338 172.242470 394.755667 1071.030778 3599.379319 19628.566975
2026-01-11 43.358148 82.519472 167.369181 392.845283 1103.576527 3912.205162 23632.167463
2026-01-18 41.893936 81.016430 167.675360 405.034238 1187.166330 4497.922293 31005.251764
2026-01-25 40.142238 78.719088 165.841498 410.949581 1251.407671 5040.121773 39415.652022
2026-02-01 38.599935 76.737162 164.526874 418.175962 1323.447206 5676.460683 50814.581025
2026-02-08 36.734076 73.863108 160.705044 417.299382 1364.821708 6183.251636 62539.047975